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Ontario has made major progress in reducing deaths due to circulatory, cancer and respiratory diseases – with more Ontarians surviving into old age – but the gains differ substantially across regions, according to public health policy researchers at the University of Toronto.

Ontarians in health regions that include the Greater Toronto and Hamilton areas are healthier than those living in northern and eastern Ontario.

“Despite the progress made towards reducing early death in Ontario, there are certain regions in the province that may not be benefiting fully from Ontario’s health system improvements,” said Laura Rosella, assistant professor of epidemiology at the Dalla Lana School of Public Health. Rosella also holds the Canada Research Chair in Population Health Analytics.

Rosella and her Population Health Analytics Laboratory team published this week the , which looks at all deaths in Ontario between 1992 and 2015. The Ontario Atlas analyzes “premature mortality,” or deaths before the age of 75 that are largely preventable. Between 2006 and 2012, researchers found that half of premature deaths were potentially preventable.

Ontario’s public health and health-care systems have made progress in reducing premature death through policies aimed at preventing chronic disease, such as Smoke-Free Ontario, which aims to achieve the lowest smoking rates in Canada. Gains have also been made in treating people with chronic conditions, such as advances in coronary heart disease treatment and improvements in diabetes management.

Health researchers and policy-makers have long known that geography, gender and socioeconomic status profoundly impact health, but this Atlas shows significant variability in declines in death rates across the province. Ontario shows an overall 34-per-cent decline in mortality, with health regions that include the Greater Toronto and Hamilton areas experiencing the lowest mortality rates and largest improvements. However, Northern Ontario and regions outside Kingston and Ottawa have the highest mortality rates and showed little or no improvement.

“Using maps to visualize mortality trends in Ontario was a very deliberate choice. Not only do the maps send a clear message about what geography means for Ontarians’ health – we also hope that they will create the opportunity for stakeholders to engage with mortality in new, exciting ways,” said Emmalin Buajitti (pictured left), a master’s of public health student at Dalla Lana who worked on the project with Rosella.

“The more socioeconomically disadvantaged the area, the higher their risk of premature death. We’re seeing that as premature mortality rates in Ontario decline, not all regions of our province are benefiting,” said Rosella, who is also a scientist at Public Health Ontario and the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences.

Highlights include:

• A 34-per-cent decline in all causes of mortality in Ontario between 1992 and 2015 (40 per cent in men, 30 per cent in women, indicating a narrowing of the mortality gap between men and women over time)
• Large improvements in several cause-specific mortality rates, including cardiovascular and circulatory mortality (a decline of 47 per cent) and respiratory mortality (a 29-per-cent decrease for men and 26 per cent for women)
• A 20-per-cent decline in premature mortality (deaths before age 75), which indicates more Ontarians are surviving into old age 
• The areas that are most deprived continue to have the highest rates of premature deaths and there is evidence of a greater inequity over time
• Premature mortality was reduced in some Local Health Integration Networks  (Toronto Central, Central and Mississauga Halton) by as much as 35 per cent, a clear sign of success in preventing early deaths 
• Women in North East and North West LHINs experienced no improvement in premature mortality between 1992 and 2015 (compared to 19-per-cent improvement in Ontario women and 33-per-cent improvement in Toronto Central LHIN).
• To reduce premature mortality and close the gaps in health disparities within the province, Rosella says a clear plan with targeted goals and investment are needed.

“A strong vision with clear goals aimed at reducing early deaths and closing the geographic and socioeconomic gaps in population health should be something that government, municipalities and health organizations get behind,” said Rosella.

“Investment and strong cross-ministerial support are crucial. In light of the progress already achieved in Ontario, efforts to reduce premature death and close these gaps are well worth the investment.”

The Ontario Atlas was funded by a Canadian Institutes of Health Research operating grant. It is published by the .